Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?75.5% 4.0%-71.5
- Will Erik Seidel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?3.8% 49.1%+45.3
- Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?50.2% 5.4%-44.8
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship?47.8% 3.5%-44.3
- Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?46.9% 4.5%-42.4
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202819.4%$1.2BRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$681.8MPresidential Election Winner 202820.1%$673.4MF1 Drivers' Champion73.6%$200.5MNetanyahu out by...?39.5%$123.8MFed Decision in July?79.7%$123.7MNext French Presidential Election30.9%$116.5MBrazil Presidential Election63.5%$116.4MVenezuela leader end of 2026?82.5%$94.7MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?5.7%$67.8MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9%$64.8MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5.5%$63.6MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?52.5%$50.2MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?23.5%$49.0MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?86.4%$45.3MNFL Champion 202715.5%$42.1MCalifornia Governor Election Winner93.0%$40.5MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4.0%$39.2MMLB World Series Champion 202630.5%$36.8MIran leader end of 2026?79.0%$35.3MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4.4%$35.1MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?10.5%$30.8MWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?52.0%$30.3MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?11.5%$28.9MF1 Constructors' Champion83.5%$28.1MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.5%$27.1MIsrael closes its airspace by...?29.0%$25.2MWhat will happen before GTA VI?49.9%$23.5MBallon d'Or Winner 202645.9%$23.4MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?9.5%$23.3MNobel Peace Prize Winner 202610.5%$23.0MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?0.4%$22.3MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?32.6%$21.8MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?5.5%$21.7MIran leadership change by...?31.0%$21.2MMLS Cup Winner 202629.0%$19.5MPutin out as President of Russia by...?15.0%$18.9MWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?59.5%$18.1MIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?12.5%$17.6MHantavirus pandemic in 2026?3.4%$17.2M